Driving an electric car confers a badge of greenery, or so the marketing departments of their makers would have you believe.
Yet a report which analyses the life cycle of car emissions (ie, all
the way from those created by the mining of materials for batteries, via
the ones from the production of fuel and the generation of electricity,
to the muck that actually comes out of the exhaust) presents a rather
different picture.
A battery-powered car recharged with electricity generated by
coal-fired power stations, it found, is likely to cause more than three
times as many deaths from pollution as a conventional petrol-driven
vehicle.
Even a battery car running on the average mix of electrical power
generated in America is much more hazardous than the conventional
alternative.
Christopher Tessum, Jason Hill and Julian Marshall of the University
of Minnesota have just published this study in the Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences. They estimate how levels of fine
particulate matter and ground-level ozone--two important constituents of
air pollution, which kills more than 100,000 people a year in
America--would change if each of 11 ways of powering a car were to be
responsible for 10% of the vehicle-miles expected to be driven in
America in 2020.
The Economist
It
was no surprise that electric cars whose batteries were topped up from
wind, solar or hydroelectric sources came out cleanest, causing 231
putative deaths over the course of a year, compared with 878 for petrol
cars.
Electric cars recharged with power from natural-gas-fired stations
were also a lot less lethal than petrol-driven ones, with 439 deaths.
But if those same electric cars were recharged ultimately by coal, they
would be responsible, according to the model, for just over 3,000
deaths.
Biofuels also caused more health problems than petrol. But diesel,
which is generating concern about pollution in parts of Europe, where it
is a more popular fuel than in America, was marginally cleaner than
petrol. This is because the Minnesota model assumes for all cars that
present and future emission-control technologies will be more widely
used in 2020, especially particulate filters which have a marked effect
on cleaning diesel exhausts. Diesel cars also have better fuel economy
than petrol-driven ones.
Overall, the research shows that electric cars are cleaner than those
that rely on internal-combustion engines only if the power used to
charge them is also clean. That is hardly a surprise, but the magnitude
of the difference is. How green electric cars really are, then, will
depend mainly on where they are driven. In France, which obtains more
than half its power from nuclear stations, they look like a good bet. In
China--which is keen on electric cars, but produces some 80% of its
electricity from coal--rather less so.
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